By 1997, Asia attracted almost half of all affluent capital to developing countries. In particular, the economies of Southeast Asia maintained high interest rates that attracted foreign investors seeking high returns. As a result, the economies of the region received a major tributary of money and experienced a dramatic increase in asset prices. At the same time, regional economies of Thailand, Malaysia, Indonesia, Singapore and South Korea experienced high growth rates, from 8 to 12 of GDP in the late 1980s and early 90s. This achievement was widely held by financial institutions, including the International Monetary Fund and World Bank, and was known as part of the "Asian economic miracle."In 1994, economist Paul Krugman published an article attacking the idea of an "Asian economic miracle." argued that economic growth in Southeast Asia had been the historical result of capital investment, which had led to growth productivity, but the total factor productivity had increased only marginally or not at all. Krugman argued that only the total factor productivity and not capital investment, could lead to long-term prosperity. The causes of the debacle are many and disputed. Thailand's economy is in a bubble filled with hot money. It required more and more while growing the size of the bubble.The same situation prevailed in Malaysia but in this case had better political leadership, and Indonesia, which had the added complication of what was called "savage capitalism." The flow of short-term capital was expensive and often highly conditioned by rapid economic benefit. The money ended up in an uncontrolled manner to certain people only, not particularly the most appropriate or most efficient, but those closest to the centers of power. In the mid-1990s, Thailand, Indonesia and Korea South had large private current account deficits and maintaining a fixed exchange rate incentives for external borrowing and led to excessive exposure to foreign exchange risk in both the financial and the corporate. In addition, two factors began to change the economic environment.When the U.S. economy recovered from the recession of the early '90s, the Federal Reserve System under Alan Greenspan began to raise interest rates to cut inflation. This made the U.S. a more attractive investment destination for Southeast Asian flows which had attracted hot money through high interest rates in the short term, increasing the value of the dollar, which were established many Southeast Asian currencies, which made their exports less competitive. At the same time, export growth in Southeast Asia fell dramatically in the spring of 1996, deteriorating current account position.Some economists had suggested China's impact on the real economy as a contributing factor to the slowdown in export growth in the countries of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations, although these economists argue that the major cause of the crisis was the excessive speculation. China had begun to compete effectively with other Asian exporters, particularly in the 1990s, after the implementation of a number of export-oriented reforms. More importantly, Thai and Indonesian currencies were anchored to the dollar was appreciating in the 90s. Western importers sought cheaper manufacturing and, in fact, found in China, whose currency was depreciating against the dollar.Other economists dispute this theory emphasizing that, in the early '90s, both the Southeast Asian countries such as China experienced simultaneous rapid growth of exports. Many economists believed that the Asian crisis was created not by psychology or technology market, but by policies that distorted incentives within the lender-borrower relationship. The resulting large quantities of cr that became available generated a highly leveraged economic climate and pushed asset prices to rise to an unsustainable level. These asset prices eventually began to collapse, causing the suspension of payments of the obligations of debt both by individuals and companies. The resulting panic among lenders led to a large withdrawal of cr from the crisis countries, causing a cr crunch and then bankruptcy.
